Jesse May previews the World Open IV - 02/04/2008
The PartyPoker.com World Open IV begins on April 25 - commentator Jesse May gives the lowdown on the 12 heats - to watch his video prediction, visit www.matchroombets.com:
Jesse May previews the World Open IV
Heat 1: Celeb heat winner, Craig Burgess, Nathan Lee, Dave Gregory, Luke Patten, Andy Ward
Dave Gregory always plays the first heat of these events, because he knows about the extra value that is usually provided by the celebrity qualifier, and he's usually the favourite. But this time the celebrity qualifier might not be a mug, especially if Min Patel gets through, who is in the top half of the field based on his own play anyway. Gregory has been running a little spotty of late, as has Luke Patten. It's Andy Ward's first TV event but he's quite experienced at the one table format. It's hard to win your first time, however, and you'd have to pick Nathan Lee as the guy who wants it the most and is also due.
Heat 2: Dale Hoy, Rob Cooper, Rob Gray, Trevor Reardon, Nick Slade, Qualifier
Either Dale Hoy is going to die before he wins one of these things, or Dale Hoy is going to win one of these things before he dies. He won't get a better opportunity than this.
Heat 3: Josh Tyler, Robin Keston, Scott O'Reilly, Qualifier, Qualifier, Qualifier
Josh Tyler is somewhere between a very good player and a ham and egg sandwich who wants to be on TV. Robin Keston is always 1-3 on to finish second.
Heat 4: Tim Flanders, Lascelle Barrow, Alan Abraham, Alan Vinnicombe, Sammy George, Qualifier
It eats Tim Flanders up inside that now that he's actually playing good poker, he can't seem to win. But I look for him to finally break his TV duck.
Heat 5: Pippa Flanders, Dave Johnson, Ghassan El-Hoss, Stuart Rutter, Abhishek Khaitan, Ben Roberts
Ben Roberts is one of the best players in Europe, but flies under the radar. Way under. I've seen him play this format once and he did everything but make the jack of spades jump out of the pack and squirt cider in your ear. Even though Pippa is a former champion of this event, she hasn't been playing much of late.
Heat 6: Anthony Hardy, Mohammed Shafiq, Dave Broadhurst, Andrew Feldman, Dixie Dean, David Rudling
The Bookie is the defending champion, but a year is a long time and he's in terrible form. Feldman seemed a little overanxious his last time out. Shaf has a super-aggressive style which figures to work well against this line-up.
Heat 7: Ian Frazer, Neil Channing, Ryan Fronda, Michael McCool, Achilleas Kallackis, Richard Ashby
Frazer and McCool will cancel each other out. Channing now has too much money to think straight, and Ashby will be more concerned with getting back to Omaha on the Internet. That means Ryan Fronda is nearly nailed on. His conservative style will work peaches here, plus he's in form with a new tank from Ireland.
Heat 8: Agnieszka Rylik, Dave Garbacz, Andy Greekfish, Simon Zach, Ross Boatman, Qualifier
Greekfish should be the player here, but lately he's been too trigger happy. Ross Boatman has been doing eight shows a week in the West End. Good enough for second, but Simon Zach should win this with the extra effort.
Heat 9: Surinder Sunar, Phil Curtis, Ian Woodley, John Tabatabai, Liam Flood, Qualifier
I can't say enough about how well Surinder is playing right now. He's one of the best players full-stop and is firing on all cylinders. The line-up does not suit Tabatabai, as Flood is an even bigger nutcase than he is. Woodley preys on the weak, and there's none of those here in what should be one of the most entertaining heats to watch.
Heat 10: Christoph Haller, Theo Jorgensen, Rumit Somaiya, Mike Ellis, Qualifier, Qualifier
When Theo is up for it, he is deadly. So is Rumit, but his confidence is low. Mike Ellis impressed his last time out, but this field is of a higher calibre. Theo for the win.
Heat 11: Jon Kalmar, John Magill, Thomas Bihl, Roberto Romanello, Marty Smyth, Roy Brindley
Completely wide open. Romanello and Bihl are aggressive rocks. Kalmar will try to play every hand, and Magill will actually play every hand. Roy Brindley will sit tight for three levels and then come over the top of everyone with nothing. Marty Smyth will just play excellent. You have to go with Kalmar here, because he will still be drunk from the night before and will just be trying to get it over with quick to get back to bed. That should be enough to win.
Heat 12: Mike Sexton, Jan Peter Jachtmann, Barny Boatman, Juha Helppi, Marc Goodwin, Qualifier
Juha Helppi thinks he is running so bad that he will never win another one of these. Marc Goodwin thinks he is running so bad that he'd like to have luck like Juha's. Barny Boatman is truly running worse than any of them, but he is either possessed by eternal optimism or is just an idiot. I'll take the idiot to win. Go Barny!!